Hurricane Katrina thread

[rockin500]

It probably wont matter. this ****er is too damned broad that if it goes 35 miles either way, its as good as a direct hit.

and i dont expect that northward turn until the very last minute which wont mean a damned thing.

[CincyRedsFan30]

It will be bad everywhere, but the place that gets hit with the area JUST to the right of the eye will suffer the most.

[rockin500]

It will be bad everywhere, but the place that gets hit with the area JUST to the right of the eye will suffer the most.

yep. thats where the nastiest winds and nastiest rain lies. Its like a bomb has gone off in those areas. If you saw the south shore in the New Orleans area, you could see the effects already (high surf and trees blowing almost horizontally)

BTw, this is the only the 2nd Category 5 hurricane to hit LA since 1851. yikes.

[HuskerFan2002]

In a way, we're seeing history folks. I was listening to Aaron Brown's show just a few minutes ago and if Katrina directly hits New Orleans, this would happen once every 500 years.

[rockin500]

i was thinking a 1000 year storm, but eh, a 500 year storm aint much better when it comes to those kinda things...

[CincyRedsFan30]

Winds holding steady at 160 MPH:

HURRICANE KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

THERE ARE CONFLICTING SIGNALS REGARDING THE INTENSITY OF KATRINA.
THE NOAA AIRCRAFT NEAR 00Z REPORTED A PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 155
KT...WHICH WOULD NORMALLY CORRESPOND TO 140 KT AT THE SURFACE. THE
PRESSURE REMAINS EXTREMELY LOW...904 MB AT LAST REPORT. ON THE
OTHER HAND...THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...OR
SFMR...SUGGESTED WINDS WERE IN THE 120-130 KT RANGE...AND LIMITED
DROPSONDE DATA ALSO SUGGESTED SOMETHING A LITTLE BELOW 140 KT.
THERE ARE ENOUGH QUESTIONS ABOUT THE PERFORMANCE OF THE SFMR AT
THESE SPEEDS FOR ME TO STICK WITH THE STANDARD 90 PERCENT
ADJUSTMENT FOR NOW.

THERE HAVE BEEN SOME MODEST CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF KATRINA OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES SHOW THAT AN OUTER
EYEWALL IS IN THE FORMATIVE STAGES...AND THE LATEST IR IMAGES SHOW
A LESS WELL-DEFINED EYEWALL WITH MORE EVIDENCE OF OUTER BANDING.
THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS ALSO REPORTED AN EROSION OF THE EYEWALL
IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THESE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THERE
COULD BE SOME WEAKENING OF KATRINA PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALL THIS IS
RELATIVE...HOWEVER...AND KATRINA IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE OF AT
LEAST CATEGORY FOUR INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COAST. AN EYEWALL
REPLACEMENT AT THIS POINT IS NOT ALL GOOD NEWS...AS THEY ARE
GENERALLY ACCOMPANIED BY A BROADENING OF THE WIND FIELD...SO THAT
EVEN AS KATRINA WEAKENS THERE COULD BE AN INCREASE IN THE AREA THAT
EXPERIENCES MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.

THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. THE
INITIAL MOTION IS 335/9. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN
NORTHWARD INTO A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE NEAR THE GREAT LAKES. MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED...WITH THE NOGAPS SHIFTING JUST A BIT
EAST OF ITS PREVIOUS TRACK. WHILE THERE IS GREAT SIGNIFICANCE FOR
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS IN THE DETAILS OF THE TRACK...TRACK
ANOMOLIES OF 30-50 MILES ARE STILL POSSIBLE EVEN 12-18 HOURS OUT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[rockin500]

max mayfield of the NHC just said that about the eyewall. one thing he expanded on though is that if the eyewall changes in the form of it weakening, its going to make the storm bigger in a way. so instead of getting run over by a freight train, they'll get run over by an 18 wheeler.

[ghettochild]

http://www.nola.com/beadcam/index.ssf?video

for a live feed

[rockin500]

new orleans is getting a bit of a break with the storm shifting a bit to the east so its getting the weaker western eyewall instead of the eastern one where the strongest winds lie.

[rockin500]

anyone see the pictures of the superdome?

and whole neighborhoods in New Orleans are underwater. yet, it coulda been so much worse in new orleans.

[777rak]

Yea I saw some of them pretty sad, wonder what will happen to the Saints this year I mean where will they play?


Man I feel sorry everyone there

[MarinersFan87]

Yea I saw some of them pretty sad, wonder what will happen to the Saints this year I mean where will they play?

I think they'll be able to fix it up for it to be playable. And if they can't I'd imagine they'd play up here in Tiger Stadium.

[777rak]

I think they'll be able to fix it up for it to be playable. And if they can't I'd imagine they'd play up here in Tiger Stadium.

So you there? If so stay safe.

[rockin500]

I think they'll be able to fix it up for it to be playable. And if they can't I'd imagine they'd play up here in Tiger Stadium.

not anytime soon. considering that parts of new orleans are going to be underwater for weeks on end, they wont be able to use the stadium anytime soon.

[rockin500]

breaking news via MSNBC. 50 hurricane related deaths in harrison county, MS.