My big play of the day ($80) is on Friesan Fire to win. I also have a small sprinkle (only $20 but sweet payout) on a 6-15-16 Trifecta box of: Friesan Fire, Dunkirk, Pioneer of the Nile.
It's supposed to be a rainy and wet day at the Derby, but Friesan Fire has trained well and everyone says that the wet track suits him well. He crushed the field at the Louisiana Derby and there's a good shot he'll do the same here. He's got a good starting gate too with the 6 spot, just where you want to be, not too close to the rail where you'll get squeezed in at the turn and not too far on the outside where you'll get boxed out.
Friesan Fire wins it. Mark my words.