Complete List of Free Agents in 2006

[General]

Catchers

Ramon Hernandez (Padres) - The perception that Hernandez quit on the Padres by not waiting until the offseason to undergo wrist surgery probably won’t have much of an impact on the contract he receives as a free agent. Just 28 years old, he’s the one catcher available worthy of a long-term commitment. The Padres are less likely to re-sign him now, but the Mets figure to be very interested and the Astros could use him, too. The two Los Angeles teams can’t be counted out, although both have prospects they shouldn’t be looking to block. Unless the wrist injury turns out to be more of a concern than currently anticipated, Hernandez will probably get a four-year deal. Prediction: Mets - four year, $26 million

Mike Piazza (Mets) - Back as a full-time catcher after a disastrous stint at first base in 2004, Piazza has done his usual fine job handling pitchers and poor job throwing out baserunners. With his OPS lingering right around 800 for the second straight season, it’s going to be very interesting to see what happens with him this winter. There won’t be a lot of interest in him as a regular catcher, but it’ll only take one team to make it happen. As a DH, he probably wouldn’t provide more production than some who would come much cheaper. A move to the Orioles, where he and Javy Lopez could share catching and DH duties, would make all kinds of sense. Prediction: Orioles - one year, $5 million

Bengie Molina (Angels) - Molina, making $3 million this year, is putting up the best numbers of his career at age 31. The Angels undoubtedly would like to bring him back for 2006, but Molina is probably going to want a three-year deal. Damian Miller got one last year and he was four years older than Molina. The Angels have Jeff Mathis, who will be ready by 2007 at the latest, and they also have to be concerned with Molina’s history of leg problems. Still, my guess is that they’ll pay the price to re-sign him anyway. The Astros, Mets and Padres could also be interested. Prediction: Angels - three years, $11 million

Other free agents: Brad Ausmus (Astros), Dan Wilson (Mariners), Todd Pratt (Phillies), Einar Diaz (Cardinals), Gary Bennett (Nationals), Chris Widger (White Sox), Kelly Stinnett (Diamondbacks), Benito Santiago (FA), Charles Johnson (FA), Paul Bako (Dodgers), John Flaherty (Yankees), Sandy Alomar Jr. (Rangers), Eddie Perez (Braves), Alberto Castillo (FA), Greg Myers (FA), Pat Borders (Mariners)

No one here is worthy of regular playing time these days, although Ausmus might find some poor GM interested in him as a starter.

Options
Todd Greene (Rockies) - $800,000 team option, $100,000 buyout

The Rockies seem pretty impressed with Danny Ardoin’s defense, so Greene’s option is less likely to be picked up. There should be other teams willing to employ him as a backup.

Trade candidates: Johnny Estrada (Braves), Jason LaRue (Reds), Mike Lieberthal (Phillies), Toby Hall (Devil Rays), Rod Barajas (Rangers), Jason Phillips (Dodgers), Kelly Shoppach (Red Sox), Gerald Laird (Rangers), Javier Valentin (Reds), Josh Willingham (Marlins)

The Braves will probably want to keep Estrada for 2006, but selling while he still has quite a bit of value is recommended. If they wait until they’re positive Brian McCann is ready, they probably won’t get as much talent in return. … LaRue figures to make $4.5 million or more in his final year of arbitration eligibility. Javier Valentin’s breakthrough season might make him expendable. It’s unlikely the Reds will pay what it takes to keep both. … The Phillies will try and likely fail to find a taker for Lieberthal, whose $7.5 million option for 2006 kicked in earlier this season. … Texas doesn’t figure to keep both Barajas and Laird for another year. If the Rangers choose to commit to Barajas, there would be a few teams interested in making Laird a regular.

Non-tender candidates: Vance Wilson (Tigers), Geronimo Gil (Orioles), Wiki Gonzalez (Mariners), Adam Melhuse (Athletics), Chad Moeller (Brewers), Josh Paul (Angels)

Nothing but backups. … The Tigers seem to like Wilson, but if he wants more than a minimal raise over the $760,000 he’s making, he should be let go. … Gonzalez is making $1.2 million in the final year of the multiyear contract he signed with the Padres, so he’ll almost surely be made a free agent.

Top 2006 free agents: Jorge Posada (Yankees)*, Javy Lopez (Orioles), A.J. Pierzynski (White Sox), Jason LaRue (Reds), Mike Lieberthal (Phillies), Damian Miller (Brewers)*, Rod Barajas (Rangers), Gregg Zaun (Blue Jays), Doug Mirabelli (Red Sox), Mike Redmond (Twins)

The Yankees hold a $12 million option with a $4 million buyout on Posada for 2007. … If the $3.75 million team option is declined, Miller can return to the Brewers in 2007 for $2.25 million plus the chance to earn $750,000 in incentives.

First Basemen/Designated Hitters

Paul Konerko (White Sox) - Konerko is on pace for a second straight 40-homer season and he’s only turning 30 in March. He’ll almost certainly get a raise from the $8.75 million he’s making in the final season of a three-year deal he signed prior to 2003. Either four years and $40 million or three and $32 million would be appropriate. With Carlos Lee gone and Frank Thomas likely to depart, expect the White Sox to re-sign their first baseman. The Yankees, Orioles and Mets could pounce on him if the White Sox don’t move quickly. Prediction: White Sox - four years, $40 million

Erubiel Durazo (Athletics) - Durazo underwent Tommy John surgery in July, but he’ll probably be ready for the start of next season and some team should be willing to sign him as a DH. He’s a career .281/.381/.487 hitter and he’s not someone who needs to be platooned. A return to Oakland is fairly unlikely, although the club will be in the market for a DH if Scott Hatteberg isn’t re-signed. Durazo isn’t someone who figures to remain a good player into his mid-30s, but he has a chance to be a bargain signing for 2006. If the teams in need of a full-time DH pass him over, the Red Sox or Yankees would find a way to squeeze him in. Prediction: Yankees - one year, $2.5 million

Rafael Palmeiro (Orioles) - Palmeiro’s performance on his way to 3,000 hits made it look like he might be back for another year, but after the steroids suspension, it seems a lot more likely now that he’ll retire. Unless some new facts come to light, there won’t be a lot of demand for him. It might be Tampa Bay or nothing. Prediction: Retirement

Kevin Millar (Red Sox) - Barring some postseason heroics, Millar is about done in Boston. His lack of power has been a major problem this year, and he certainly doesn’t make up for it with his defense. The Red Sox may already have a superior option at first base on the roster in Roberto Petagine and there will be plenty of trade possibilities out there in the offseason. Millar’s newfound rep as a winner and a good clubhouse guy will likely make him a starter somewhere. Giving him a multiyear contract would be a very bad idea. Prediction: Orioles - one year, $3 million

Other free agents: Daryle Ward (Pirates), Travis Lee (Devil Rays), Olmedo Saenz (Dodgers), J.T. Snow (Giants), Jeff Conine (Marlins), Julio Franco (Braves), Mark Sweeney (Padres), Eduardo Perez (Devil Rays), John Olerud (Red Sox), Brad Fullmer (FA), Dave Hansen (Mariners), Jose Offerman (Mets), Carlos Baerga (Nationals), Wil Cordero (Mets), Lenny Harris (Marlins)

Some useful players, but there’s no one here guaranteed of entering next year as a regular. Saenz will be the subject of a lot of interest as a bench player. Lee might have a starting job, depending on how he finishes up.

Options
Dmitri Young (Tigers) - $8 million team option vests with 500 plate appearances
Frank Thomas (White Sox) - $12 million team option; $10 million player option with $3.5 million buyout
Doug Mientkiewicz (Mets) - $3.75 million team option, $450,000 buyout
Tino Martinez (Yankees) - $3 million team option, $250,000 buyout
Scott Hatteberg (Athletics) - $2.7 million-$2.8 million team option, unknown buyout

Young’s option will kick in with another 78 plate appearances. The Tigers won’t sit him down to avoid the commitment, but if he does get hurt again, it’s possible the option won’t be picked up. … The White Sox will probably save themselves $6.5 million and set Thomas free. There’s some optimism, but it’s hardly guaranteed that Thomas will be healthy at the start of the season. He’s likely to depart Chicago for an incentive-laden one-year deal elsewhere. … Injuries have hurt Mientkiewicz’s chances of having his option picked up. The Mets will try to upgrade at first base. … Martinez and Hatteberg should both have their options declined, although they could be re-signed at lesser prices.

Trade candidates: Lyle Overbay (Brewers), Chad Tracy (Diamondbacks), Ryan Howard (Phillies), Mike Sweeney (Royals), Eric Hinske (Blue Jays), Hee Seop Choi (Dodgers), Jim Thome (Phillies), Todd Helton (Rockies), Sean Casey (Reds), Darin Erstad (Angels), Jeff Bagwell (Astros), Phil Nevin (Rangers), Ben Broussard (Indians), Adrian Gonzalez (Rangers), Ryan Shealy (Rockies), Jason Stokes (Marlins), Brandon Sing (Cubs)

It’s appearing more likely that Prince Fielder will be ready to help the Brewers next season, and even though Overbay hasn’t been all that good over the last three months, that he’s not going to be a free agent until after 2008 makes him very attractive. … Tracy has outplayed Overbay of late and is expendable because of Conor Jackson and Carlos Quentin. The Diamondbacks should move him while his value is at its highest.

Of the higher priced players, Sweeney is probably still the best bet to go, although the Rangers should try hard to move Nevin. Dumping Thome may be impossible for the Phillies now. … Bagwell’s shoulder could force him into retirement. If he wants to keep playing, the Astros may have to eat his contract and send him to an AL team so he can be used as a DH.

Non-tender candidates: Carlos Pena (Tigers), Josh Phelps (Devil Rays), Mike Lamb (Astros)

Pena is making $2.575 million this season and is eligible for arbitration once again, so he’ll likely have to be released rather than traded. He’d be a good pickup for a small-market club.

Top 2006 free agents: Derrek Lee (Cubs), Nick Johnson (Nationals), Darin Erstad (Angels), Shea Hillenbrand (Blue Jays), Sean Casey (Reds), Phil Nevin (Rangers), Scott Spiezio (Mariners)*

Lee has put himself in position to be next winter’s top free agent. The Cubs will probably discuss a new contract with him this winter. … Spiezio figures to be released long before the Mariners need to make a decision on his option for 2007.

Second Basemen

Craig Biggio (Astros) - Biggio hasn’t been especially impressive defensively in his return to the infield, but he appears to be on his way to his best season offensively since 2001. It’d be an upset if the Astros didn’t keep him and leave him at second base for one more year. Chris Burke can remain in the outfield or become trade bait. Prediction: Astros - one year, $3.5 million

Mark Grudzielanek (Cardinals) - The Cardinals aren’t only pleased with what Grudzielanek has brought to the table offensively, but they think he deserves Gold Glove consideration. Best of all is that it looks like he’ll stay off the disabled list for the first time in three years. He’s put himself in position to receive a multiyear deal, even with the Yankees not likely to be interested. It seems likely that he’ll stay in St. Louis, although the Rangers, Twins, Giants and Devil Rays are among the clubs that could be interested in him. Prediction: Cardinals - two years, $5 million

Bret Boone (FA) - Boone is expected to come back and give it another try next year. Some team will probably be willing to guarantee him money, no matter how helpless he looked at the end with the Twins. Prediction: Devil Rays - one year, $1.5 million

Other free agents: Tony Graffanino (Red Sox), Miguel Cairo (Mets), Deivi Cruz (Giants), Damion Easley (Marlins), Fernando Vina (Tigers), Joe McEwing (Royals)

Graffanino’s OBP will make him a target of several teams and it’s possible that he’ll land a starting job. Cairo, Cruz and Easley should have utility roles.

Options
Ray Durham (Giants) - $7 million player option
Ronnie Belliard (Indians) - $4 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Mark Loretta (Padres) - $3 million team option vests at 293 plate appearances
Todd Walker (Cubs) - $2.5 million-$2.75 million team option vests at unknown number of PAs
Frank Menechino (Blue Jays) - $775,000 team option vests at 340 plate appearances, $50,000 buyout

Durham’s bat is still there, but since injuries are taking him out of the lineup so frequently and making him a liability on defense, he’s going to have to exercise his option to return to the Giants. He could be traded. … Belliard’s solid work, combined with Brandon Phillips’ lack of progress, should result in his option being picked up. … Loretta will stay in San Diego regardless of whether the option kicks in automatically. … The Cubs will also likely bring Walker back to play second base for one more year.

Trade candidates: Alfonso Soriano (Rangers), Marcus Giles (Braves), Orlando Hudson (Blue Jays), Jerry Hairston Jr. (Cubs), Ray Durham (Giants), Junior Spivey (Nationals), Omar Infante (Tigers), Kaz Matsui (Mets), Tony Womack (Yankees), Keith Ginter (Athletics), Alex Cora (Red Sox), Chris Burke (Astros), Antonio Perez (Dodgers), Brandon Phillips (Indians)

Soriano will make about $10 million in his final year of arbitration eligibility, so expect more trade rumors this winter. … The Blue Jays might trade Hudson to open up second base for Aaron Hill. Hudson’s outstanding glove would lead to plenty of interest if he’s available. … Hairston is one of the 30 best second basemen in the majors. The Cubs should trade him rather than make him a part-time player in the outfield once again. … Infante figures to be made available by the Tigers with Placido Polanco locked up for four years. He’s only turning 24 in December, so he should have a future as a long-term regular.

Non-tender candidates: Mark Bellhorn (Red Sox), D’Angelo Jimenez (Reds), Luis Rivas (Twins), Marlon Anderson (Mets), Willie Harris (White Sox), Willie Bloomquist (Mariners), Henry Mateo (Nationals)

If Bellhorn accepts a salary reduction, the Red Sox may look to re-sign him and let him compete with Dustin Pedroia for a starting job. But that’s assuming he isn’t released before the end of the season. … Jimenez will likely have to settle for a utility role after being banished to Double-A by the Reds. … Rivas belongs in Triple-A, but a lesser team will sign him and let him compete for a starting job. … The Mets will likely want to keep Anderson on their bench, but if he insists on going to arbitration, he could be let go.

Top 2006 free agents: Alfonso Soriano (Rangers), Jeff Kent (Dodgers), Luis Castillo (Marlins)*, Adam Kennedy (Angels), Jerry Hairston Jr. (Cubs), Ray Durham (Giants), Ronnie Belliard (Indians), Craig Counsell (Diamondbacks), Junior Spivey (Nationals)

By the time next winter rolls around, Soriano, Kent, Hairston and Durham may all be looked at as potential regulars at other positions. Soriano, at least, may continue to insist on remaining at second base. … The 2007 option on Castillo’s contract is worth $5.75 million and includes a $500,000 buyout.

[General]

Third Basemen

Joe Randa (Padres) - Randa turns 36 this winter, so he shouldn’t be receiving multiyear offers at this point of his career. However, he is due a raise from the $2.15 million he’s earning this year. How much interest the Padres have in re-signing him will likely be dictated by how he hits down the stretch. The Dodgers, Twins, Phillies, Nationals and White Sox are among the teams that could pursue him. Prediction: Padres - one-year, $3.5 million

Bill Mueller (Red Sox) - The drop-off after Mueller surprisingly won a batting title in 2003 was expected, but he has managed to maintain an 800 OPS once again this year. Fenway Park deserves a lot of the credit, as he’s posted road OPSs of 638 in 2004 and 735 this year. The Red Sox will likely let Mueller go and turn third base over to Kevin Youkilis. Mueller figures to have the same list of suitors as Randa. A two-year deal is a possibility, but it’s likely he’ll disappoint. Prediction: Twins - two years, $6 million

Jose Valentin (Dodgers) - Valentin got $3.5 million to become the Dodgers’ third baseman this year. He can also still be viewed as a possibility at shortstop, but since a knee injury cost him three months and he hasn’t been very productive when healthy, he’ll definitely be looking at a paycut. It’s possible that he won’t get a starting job at all, although he’s still worthy of one. Prediction: Indians - one year, $2 million

Other free agents: Wes Helms (Brewers), Geoff Blum (White Sox), Jeff Cirillo (Brewers)

Helms has quietly amassed an 826 OPS in 124 at-bats this season. He was miscast as a regular, but there should be some demand for him as a part-timer.

Trade candidates: Mike Lowell (Marlins), Edgardo Alfonzo (Giants), Joe Crede (White Sox), Russell Branyan (Brewers), Sean Burroughs (Padres), Michael Cuddyer (Twins), David Bell (Phillies), Bobby Hill (Pirates)

The Marlins will again look for a taker for Lowell’s contract in the offseason. Philadelphia would make sense, if Florida will take David Bell in return and still eat a portion of the deal. … The Giants will be even more eager to move Alfonzo than Ray Durham. If Barry Bonds and Moises Alou return, Pedro Feliz will have to play third base. … Third base is a logical place for the White Sox to look for an upgrade. If they find one, Crede could be traded or non-tendered. … The Brewers should keep Russell Branyan, but they may prefer to turn third base over to Bill Hall.

Non-tender candidates: Ty Wigginton (Pirates), Mark DeRosa (Rangers), Eric Munson (Devil Rays), Jose Macias (Cubs)

Assuming that he’s recalled in September, Wigginton should have enough service time to become eligible for arbitration for the first time. The Pirates might keep him anyway, although he’s probably no longer in their plans as a regular.

Top 2006 free agents: Melvin Mora (Orioles), Chipper Jones (Braves)*, Pedro Feliz (Giants), Edgardo Alfonzo (Giants), Aaron Boone (Indians)*, Russell Branyan (Brewers), David Bell (Phillies), Vinny Castilla (Nationals)

Chipper’s $15 million option for 2007 vests with 450 plate appearances. If he doesn’t reach that figure, the Braves can buy him out for $5 million.

Shortstops

Rafael Furcal (Braves) - Furcal’s performance over the first few months led to rumors that the Braves would just trade him and go with Wilson Betemit at shortstop the rest of the way. There was probably never any real chance of that happening, though. Furcal bounced back with a huge July and the rumors died leading up to the deadline. The Braves remain very unlikely to re-sign Furcal this winter. He’ll be looking for at least $8 million per year, and Atlanta can get just as much offense at shortstop from Betemit. Expect the Diamondbacks, Cubs and maybe the Tigers or Nationals to pursue the leadoff hitter. The Marlins would be a darkhorse if they decided to move Juan Pierre. Prediction: Diamondbacks - five years, $40 million

Nomar Garciaparra (Cubs) - Garciaparra again had his hopes of getting a multiyear deal dashed by injury. At this point, the 32-year-old should probably spend the rest of his career on one-year contracts. The Cubs will likely re-sign him to another incentive-laden deal, this one with a smaller guarantee than the $8.25 million he’s receiving this year. If the Cubs decide to go in a different direction, Arizona would make sense as a destination. Garciaparra already trains there in the offseason. Prediction: Cubs - one year, $6 million plus incentives

Alex Gonzalez (Marlins) - The kind of money Gonzalez gets could surprise a lot of people. He’s only turning 28 in February and he’s better offensively and defensively than Cristian Guzman. Guzman, who did have the advantage of being younger than Gonzalez, got four years and $16.8 million from the Nationals while coming off three straight seasons with sub-700 OPSs. Gonzalez finished at 756 in 2003, 689 last year and is at 705 this season while playing in a better environment for pitchers than Guzman. Something like $16 million-$18 million over three years is a very real possibility. The Marlins will make a strong bid to re-sign him. Prediction: Marlins - three years, $17 million

Other free agents: Rich Aurilia (Reds), Neifi Perez (Cubs), Royce Clayton (Diamondbacks), Alex Gonzalez (Devil Rays), Abraham Nunez (Cardinals), Jose Hernandez (Indians), Chris Gomez (Orioles), Jose Vizcaino (Astros), Desi Relaford (Rockies), Ramon Martinez (Phillies), Rey Sanchez (Yankees)

A pretty good list of backups. Expect Neifi, Nunez and Vizcaino to stay with their current teams. Aurilia and Clayton will be looking for starting jobs, but they should find landing them difficult

Options
Julio Lugo (Devil Rays) - $4.95 million team option, $100,000 buyout
Pokey Reese (Mariners) - $2.25 million team option, $300,000 buyout

Lugo’s option will be picked up. Reese’s won’t be. Add Reese to the list of free agents searching for a utility role.

Trade candidates: Julio Lugo (Devil Rays), Jack Wilson (Pirates), Alex Cintron (Diamondbacks)

There’s probably not going to be a lot of activity here. Lugo is a lot more likely to be dealt at midseason than in the offseason, and this would be the wrong winter for the Pirates to move Wilson. If someone is interested in making Cintron a regular, the Diamondbacks will listen.

Non-tender candidates: Adam Everett (Astros), Chris Woodward (Mets), Ramon Vazquez (Indians), Lou Merloni (Angels), John McDonald (Tigers)

I doubt Everett will go. Although the Astros should be giving serious thought to upgrading at shortstop, Everett will be cheap enough to keep him in Houston for at least one more year. … Woodward’s deal is the same as Marlon Anderson’s. The Mets will probably want to keep him around if he’s willing to agree to a one-year deal on the team’s terms.

Top 2006 free agents: Julio Lugo (Devil Rays)

And probably Nomar, assuming he gets another one-year deal.

Outfielders

Johnny Damon (Red Sox) - Will the Red Sox pay more than they’d like to keep another key player? Jason Varitek’s four-year, $40 million contract looks good so far, but he doesn’t figure to be worth close to $10 million per season in 2007 and 2008. It’s the same thing with Damon. The Red Sox would have no problem giving him $9 million-$10 million per season for the next three years, but with the Yankees likely to be involved, it’s likely to take a four-year or maybe even a five-year contract to sign him. I expect that he’ll return to Boston anyway. The Red Sox have the money and there’s probably no one out there they’d rather spend it on. Prediction: Red Sox - five years, $47.5 million

Hideki Matsui (Yankees) - Under the terms of the $21 million deal he signed with the Yankees three years ago, Matsui will go on waivers if he doesn’t agree to a new contract. It’s likely that something will be worked out shortly after the conclusion of the season. Matsui wants to stay in New York and the Yankees would surely like to have him back. Prediction: Yankees - three years, $27 million

Brian Giles (Padres) - Giles has arrested his decline this year and is actually hitting .333/.459/.588 in 58 games outside of Petco Park. He turns 35 in January, so a long-term contract wouldn’t be a good idea. Still, if he’s willing to sign for two years, he’d be about as good of an investment as any of the top free agents. Giles has spoken of playing with his brother in Atlanta, but the Braves wouldn’t want him unless he was willing to take a substantial paycut. The Padres could face competition from the Astros, Cubs, Orioles, Cardinals, Blue Jays, Mariners and Indians. Also, he’d make a lot of sense in Boston if Manny Ramirez is traded. Prediction: Astros - two years, $18 million

Sammy Sosa (Orioles) - The Orioles smartly changed their minds about trying to sign Sosa to a two-year extension after acquiring him from the Cubs. With an OPS lingering around 700 and just 43 RBI this season, Sosa has been a major disappointment. He’s probably not through, but he needs to spend the rest of his career playing on one-year contracts. It figures to take a strong finish to make the Orioles interested in re-signing him. A return to the National League seems likely. Prediction: Marlins - one year, $7 million

Preston Wilson (Nationals) - Knee problems have put Wilson’s future as a center fielder in doubt, and if Wilson isn’t a center fielder, he’s not an especially valuable player. His career OPS stands at 812, and he’s below that level now. Even though he’s just 31, a multiyear deal isn’t recommended. Still, if he finishes up OK, it’s possible he’ll get $12 million over two years or maybe even $18 million for three years. Prediction: Cubs - two years, $12 million

Matt Lawton (Cubs) - Lawton has an OBP right around .370 for the second season in a row, so he ranks somewhere among the top half of baseball’s leadoff hitters. Even if his defense has become a problem, that’s worth a multiyear contract. The Cubs should be interested in re-signing him, unless they plan on making Jerry Hairston Jr. a regular in the outfield. The Dodgers, Nationals and Cardinals could look to add him to the tops of their lineups. Prediction: Cubs - two years, $12 million

Reggie Sanders (Cardinals) - The fractured fibula Sanders suffered at midseason may end up being good news for the Cardinals. If the 37-year-old could have maintained 30 HR-30 SB pace and a 900 OPS, he likely would have received some very significant offers in the offseason. Now it’s more likely that the Cardinals will be able to keep him. Another two-year deal is a possibility, although that should be avoided if possible. Sanders has always had durability issues, and even though he keeps himself in good shape, he could fall apart at any time. Prediction: Cardinals - one year, $5.5 million

Jacque Jones (Twins) - Jones would be a low-risk pickup for any team. He’s good for an 800 OPS -- maybe closer to 850 if he’s platooned -- and he’ll play quality defense in either outfield corner. The clubs that pay more attention to OBP will stay away, but there will be no shortage of GMs willing to give him two- and three-year deals. The Twins shouldn’t be one of them, as they hope to turn right field over to Jason Kubel. Prediction: Orioles - three years, $15 million

Juan Encarnacion (Marlins) - By amassing an OPS nearly 100 points higher than his career total entering the season, Encarnacion has really helped himself in his contract year. In fact, if he can manage one more tear before the end of the season, he’ll probably get a bigger deal than most of the outfielders ahead of him on this list. He seems like the perfect National. Prediction: Nationals - two years, $12 million

Richard Hidalgo (Rangers) - Hidalgo was hoping to rehabilitate his value after signing a one-year, $5 million deal with the Rangers, but it hasn’t happened and he’ll be lucky to do even that well again this winter. Japan probably isn’t a possibility just yet, but it will be interesting to see whether any of the contenders will be willing to guarantee him regular playing time. Prediction: Royals - one year, $4 million

Other free agents: Rondell White (Tigers), Kenny Lofton (Phillies), Jose Cruz Jr. (Dodgers), Bernie Williams (Yankees), Juan Gonzalez (Indians), Matt Stairs (Royals), John Mabry (Cardinals), Michael Tucker (Giants), Todd Hollandsworth (Cubs), Ruben Sierra (Yankees), B.J. Surhoff (Orioles), Brian Jordan (Braves), Eli Marrero (Orioles), Bobby Higginson (Tigers), Raul Mondesi (FA), Marquis Grissom (Giants), Orlando Palmeiro (Astros), Ben Grieve (Cubs), Quinton McCracken (Diamondbacks), Roger Cedeno (FA), Tim Salmon (Angels), Gerald Williams (Mets)

White and Lofton should get one-year deals to remain regulars. Cruz and Williams may not be so lucky. A healthier Cruz would be a very good pickup for a team without a lot of money. Bernie may elect to stay with the Yankees as a part-time DH and outfielder. As bad as his defense has gotten, no one should be interested in putting him in center. … Gonzalez had a hard time finding someone willing to take a chance on him this year. It’s tough to imagine it’s going to get any easier for him now.

Options
Larry Walker (Cardinals) - $15 million team option, $1 million buyout
Carlos Lee (Brewers) - $8.5 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Jeromy Burnitz (Cubs) - $7 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Moises Alou (Giants) - $6 million player option
Randy Winn (Giants) - $5 million team option, $3.75 million player option
Carl Everett (White Sox) - $5 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Jay Payton (Athletics) - $4 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Dustan Mohr (Rockies) - $1.5 million mutual option, $100,000 buyout
Eric Young (Padres) - $850,000 team option, $100,000 buyout

Walker’s option won’t be picked up, of course. He may be leaning toward retirement. … Lee’s option is sure to be exercised, even if the Brewers do have a capable replacement ready in Corey Hart. … Burnitz will be set free to find a one-year deal elsewhere. The Pirates tried to sign him last winter and could do so again. … Alou figures to stay with his father in San Francisco, but if not, Houston would be a likely destination. … The Giants traded for Winn with every intention of picking up his option. … The chances of Everett’s option getting picked up are increasing by the day. The White Sox will probably want him back as a DH. … The A’s may try to trade Payton and let someone else pick up his option. He’s makes sense as a replacement for Lofton in Philadelphia. … Mohr will be arbitration eligible if his option is declined.

Trade candidates: Manny Ramirez (Red Sox), Adam Dunn (Reds), Ken Griffey Jr. (Reds), Geoff Jenkins (Brewers), Mike Cameron (Mets), Juan Pierre (Marlins), Brad Wilkerson (Nationals), Corey Patterson (Cubs), Aubrey Huff (Devil Rays), Kevin Mench (Rangers), Austin Kearns (Reds), Craig Wilson (Pirates), Ryan Klesko (Padres), Jay Gibbons (Orioles), Frank Catalanotto (Blue Jays), Ryan Church (Nationals), Joey Gathright (Devil Rays), Casey Blake (Indians), Gary Matthews Jr. (Rangers), Bobby Kielty (Athletics), Jason Michaels (Phillies), Rob Mackowiak (Pirates), Scott Hairston (Diamondbacks), Josh Kroeger (Diamondbacks), Charles Thomas (Athletics), Todd Linden (Giants), Ryan Ludwick (Indians), Tike Redman (Pirates), Joe Borchard (White Sox)

Ramirez is probably going to the Mets if he goes anywhere. The Red Sox should continue to put up with the drama unless they can find someone willing to swallow the entire $57 million he’s owed over the next three years. … The Reds wouldn’t move an outfielder at the deadline, but they shouldn’t go into 2006 with all four guys under contract. There’s only a slight chance that Griffey will be moved this month. I’m still not sure Dunn isn’t the better bet to be traded. Wily Mo Pena is the member of the group most likely stay. … If the Marlins think Pierre won’t be worth the $7 million-$8 million per year he’ll command as a free agent after 2006, they could deal him this winter, perhaps to the Yankees.

Non-tender candidates: Terrence Long (Royals), Rob Mackowiak (Pirates), Alex Sanchez (Giants/DFA), Timo Perez (White Sox), Marlon Byrd (Nationals), Endy Chavez (Phillies), David Newhan (Orioles), Alex Escobar (Nationals), Eric Valent (Mets)

Long is making $4.7 million in the last year of the deal he signed with Oakland so long ago. Technically, he’s arbitration eligible at the end of the season. However, he’s sure to become a free agent. … Mackowiak is making $1.5 million this year and should be due more than $2 million in his second year of arbitration. The Pirates might decide not to pay the price. … Perez will likely stay with the White Sox for something around the $1 million he’s earning this year.

Top 2006 free agents: Barry Bonds (Giants), Gary Sheffield (Yankees)*, Carlos Lee (Brewers), Aubrey Huff (Devil Rays), Torii Hunter (Twins)*, Juan Pierre (Marlins), Jim Edmonds (Cardinals)*, Cliff Floyd (Mets), Mike Cameron (Mets)*, Jose Guillen (Nationals), Trot Nixon (Red Sox), Luis Gonzalez (Diamondbacks)*, Craig Wilson (Pirates), Shannon Stewart (Twins), Raul Ibanez (Mariners), Randy Winn (Giants), Jay Gibbons (Orioles), Steve Finley (Angels)*, Jermaine Dye (White Sox)*, David Dellucci (Rangers), Ryan Klesko (Padres)*, Frank Catalanotto (Blue Jays)







*I will post the pitchers when the list comes up*

[BaseballFanatic]

That is some good list of 05'-06' free agents.

[Witlon]

Good work, General.

I'll look in depth at this list a little later.

[General]

Just a comment: I am willing to bet my life Marcus Giles is not traded.

[Kingdom]

Abraham Nunez has done pretty well in Rolen's absence. Unless he's keen on staying in St. Louis, I am willing to bet a team will overpay for his services- when he's probably best as a Chone Figgins type utility man.

Good stuff, General. Did it pain you to type out Joe McEwing's name?

[General]

It did...it did. I was tempted to change that to Super Joe.

[Geki Ace]

It's not like General typed the name, since the entire thing is from RotoWorld and he just "forgot" to give credit.

[General]

No shit.

[love_that_reefer]

Its the weakest market we have seen in a while.

[Halladay_is_God]

i will go kill JP, if he ever trades Orlando Hudson

[Dam8610]

What are the chances that Melvin Mora and/or Chipper Jones become free agents?

[General]

Chipper has an insane option and I wouldn't be surprised if the Braves did not pick it up.

[General]

Starting Pitchers

A.J. Burnett (Marlins) - With Tim Hudson and Chris Carpenter agreeing to multiyear deals, Burnett is clearly the top pitcher on the market, assuming that Roger Clemens again restricts his choices to Houston or retirement. The Marlins decided to hold on to the soon-to-be 29-year-old at the trade deadline, but they have little hope of re-signing him. Most of the usual suspects will make bids and surprise teams like the Rangers, White Sox and Blue Jays could also be involved. Given his injury history, Burnett is quite a risk, especially since he’ll probably end up receiving five years. Still, the cash is out there and there’s just no one better to spend it on. It wouldn’t be a shock to see him get Chan Ho Park money. Prediction: Yankees - five years, $65 million

Roger Clemens (Astros) - If Clemens couldn’t retire after his 2004 performance, can he possibly quit after pitching even better in 2005? His recent back problems may factor into the decision if they linger into September. If Clemens decides to come back, it seems unlikely that he’ll do so anywhere other than Houston. The team is back in contention now and GM Tim Purpura should be able to add some pieces in the offseason. Of course, part of that depends on whether Clemens would be willing to take a paycut from the $18 million he’s making this season. Prediction: Astros - one year, $18 million

Javier Vazquez (Diamondbacks) - Vazquez is due $24 million in the final two years of the deal he signed with the Yankees. Because he was traded in the middle of a multiyear contract, he can demand a trade in the offseason and become a free agent on March 15 if one is not granted. It won’t come to that, though. Vazquez would have to finish very well to guarantee that he could get close to $12 million per year on the open market. A trade is a possibility. Free agency probably isn’t.

Matt Morris (Cardinals) - Morris came back surprisingly strong from shoulder surgery only to fade recently. He hasn’t resembled a $10 million-per-year pitcher for a month and a half now. Still, he only needs to bounce back in September and during the postseason to send his stock climbing. I’m skeptical that the 31-year-old will ever again pitch as well as he did in 2001 and ’02, but he does seem like a pretty safe bet to be a solid third starter for the next few years. If Carl Pavano was worth $40 million over four years, then Morris probably is, too. Even if he isn’t. Prediction: Nationals - four years, $36 million

Jeff Weaver (Dodgers) - In my opinion, Weaver is the best long-term investment among this year’s group of free-agent starting pitchers. He hasn’t had any arm problems and he’s pitched better than his ERA indicates in his two years in Los Angeles. Weaver tied for second in the majors in quality starts last season and he has 16 in 26 tries this year. Just 29, he’s probably a better bet than any other member of the group to still be a reliable starter in 2009. $32 million over four years wouldn’t make him a bargain, but who is going to provide better value? He might stay put in Los Angels, although that would lock the Dodgers into a lot of long-term contracts with starters. Prediction: Blue Jays - four years, $32 million

Kevin Millwood (Indians) - Assuming there are no surprise breakdowns on the horizon, Millwood won’t have to settle for a one-year contract again this winter. Despite his 6-10 record, he’s pitched some of the best ball of his career. Of the free agents, he currently appears to be as good of a bet for 2006 as anyone besides Burnett and Clemens. Long-term, maybe not so much. He’d be a fair signing for three years. Going beyond that would be reckless. Prediction: Indians - three years, $25 million

Jarrod Washburn (Angels) - Washburn has, for the most part, overcome the arm problems that once made him look like a poor bet to have a long career. He did spend some time on the DL recently with elbow inflammation, but it seems it was only a minor problem. His only other significant injury the last five years was a rib-cage problem in 2004. With his 3.38 ERA this season pulling his career total under 4.00, he’s in line to receive three or four years. I don’t think he’s a great investment -- he relies so much on his fastball that things will get ugly in a hurry if he loses some velocity -- but as the top lefty under 40 on the market, he’s going to get $7 million per year easy. Prediction: White Sox - four years, $28 million

Paul Byrd (Angels) - Byrd’s return to the American League has gone about as well as could have been hoped. Pitching on a one-year, $5 million contract, he’s 9-8 with a 3.92 ERA for the Angels. He doesn’t get many strikeouts, but his command is great and he’s a decent third or fourth starter on a team with a quality defense. The Angels will look to re-sign him, but he’ll probably ask for two years this time. Prediction: Orioles - two years, $12 million

[General]

Kenny Rogers (Rangers) - Even though he’s turning 41 in November, Rogers is likely to demand and receive a two-year contract in the offseason, probably for more guaranteed money than would be prudent. Before 2005, Rogers has posted an ERA under 4.50 just once in five years. Assuming that he can keep his temper in check, he’s a pretty good bet to make 30 starts and be a league-average pitcher in 2006. I don’t think anything more than that should be expected. Prediction: Giants - two years, $10 million

Jamie Moyer (Mariners) - There was a lot of thought that Moyer would retire with his contract expiring, but he was reportedly asking for an extension in return for accepting a trade to the Astros or Yankees last month. So, it appears that he’ll be back for a 20th season at age 43. While it’s not a given, it’s likely that he’ll re-sign with the Mariners rather than relocate. Prediction: Mariners - one year, $5 million

Esteban Loaiza (Nationals) - Loaiza made a smart choice in signing with the Nationals in the offseason. He has a 2.74 ERA in 12 starts at RFK, putting him at 3.66 overall. A stronger strikeout rate should also help in his bid to land a two-year deal this winter. The Dodgers were interested in him last time and would be a candidate to sign him if they lose Weaver or find a taker for Derek Lowe. Prediction: Dodgers - two years, $9 million

Other free agents: Jason Johnson (Tigers), Tony Armas Jr. (Nationals), Brett Tomko (Giants), Shawn Estes (Diamondbacks), Kevin Brown (Yankees), Scott Elarton (Indians), Byung-Hyun Kim (Rockies), Ismael Valdez (Marlins), Brian Moehler (Marlins), Jose Lima (Royals), Jamey Wright (Rockies), Al Leiter (Yankees), Kirk Rueter (FA), Brian Anderson (Royals), Pedro Astacio (Padres), Aaron Sele (FA), Hideo Nomo (Yankees), Scott Erickson (Dodgers)

I would hope that no one here other than Johnson gets a multiyear deal, but nothing can be ruled out. Armas, Tomko and even Elarton could really help themselves with strong finishes. … Brown and Leiter are probably going to retire this winter. … Anderson underwent Tommy John surgery in July and won’t be ready for the start of the season.

Options
Jason Schmidt (Giants) - $10 million team option, $3 million buyout
Greg Maddux (Cubs) - $9 million salary voidable by Cubs if fewer than 400 IP 2005-06
Joe Mays (Twins) - $8.5 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Tom Glavine (Mets) - $8 million-$10.5 million team option vests at 560-600 IP
Mark Mulder (Cardinals) - $7.25 million-$8.25 million team option, $250,000 buyout
Mark Redman (Pirates) - $4.95 million team option, $4.5 million player option
Steve Trachsel (Mets) - $6 million team option, $1 million buyout
Jeff Suppan (Cardinals) - $5 million team option, $1 million buyout
John Thomson (Braves) - $4.75 million team option, $500,000 buyout
Ramon Ortiz (Reds) - $4.55 million mutual option, $175,000-$250,000 buyout
Kazuhisa Ishii (Mets) - $3.25 million team option, $2.2 million buyout

The Giants would have traded Schmidt if they didn’t intend to pick up his option. The buyout makes it just a $7 million decision. … Maddux’s salary for 2006 will become guaranteed with just an additional 7 2/3 innings pitched. … Mays’ option will surely be declined. He’ll likely get $2 million or so to act as a fifth starter elsewhere. … Glavine’s option will vest at $8 million later this month. The Mets could shop him this winter, but he has a no-trade clause. … Mulder is staying put. … The Pirates will likely try to set Redman free, but if the left-hander keeps struggling, he may have to pick up his player option after all. Then again, if he comes back with a strong September, he could get $5 million-$6 million per season for two or three years from someone else.

Trachsel’s option figures to be declined. Jae Seo’s progress will determine whether the Mets explore bringing him back at a cheaper price. … Suppan is likely to stay in St. Louis. He’s worth $4 million, which is the difference between the option and the buyout. … The Braves may view Thomson as expendable, but even if that’s the case, they should pick up the option and then trade him for a prospect. I imagine the Blue Jays, Red Sox and Dodgers would happily fork over $12 million over two years or maybe go to three years to get him if he becomes a free agent. … Ortiz will be arbitration eligible, not a free agent, is his option is declined. The Reds might then non-tender him and make him a free agent. … Ishii won’t be back with the Mets. His buyout is already being mostly paid for by the Dodgers.