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Originally Posted by
Wally Mo Pena
Welcome back redsr!
The ESPN2 guys had some interesting stuff to say about the reds trade options last night. The crux of the issue was this: Milton screwed us, but that was just to start things off. What that causes is us not being able to afford Dunn unless we sign him long-term this year. He is going to make at least 8 mil in arbitration if we let him get there, and more the next year, and that’s not exactly young building block money. That’s star money.
One option for us is if we sign him long-term this year, we should be able to get him for 10 mil/per or less, which will be worth it if we get him for 7+ years and teach him to hit line drives (it’s not like they wouldn’t go out). The LTC would also allow us to back load some of that for when Griffey is off the books, allowing us a little more wiggle room. Trading Casey becomes necessary at that point. With the back loading of Dunn’s contract we and unloading casey’s 8 mil for next year we should free up about 6 mil. That would mean Dunn or Griffey had to move to 1st, and we could keep Kearns and Pena (who are both really cheap).
With Randa, Graves, and Jiminez off the books next year we would have about 17 mil free for raises and maybe an addition or two. Or lindner will just keep the money knowing danO will just toss it out the window. If we get some decent specs for Randa and Casey we’d be looking better. We’d have
Feel 2b
Lopez ss
Dunn 1b
Pena lf,
Griffey rf
Kearns cf
EdE 3b
Larue c
and that’s awesome (or could be if those players play like they are capable), but it still leaves our pitching in disarray. Maybe Harang and Claussen can continue to improve, and maybe Wilson will come back strong, but those guys should be your 3-5 guys, maybe harang is a 2, but it’s not a dominating 1-3.
Assuming Milton is insane and never comes back, and not knowing what we’ll be able to get from Hudson or hancock, we need an ACE. With all that offense (EdE batting 7th?) it seems like we need to deal some of that offense for pitching. They noted on the air yesterday that the reds have scored the second most runs in the NL, but allowed the most, and it balances out to being outscored by 60+ so far.
One of the OFs has to go, and it should be whoever can bring in the best pitcher that we can have for a while. If that’s Dunn, then it’s Dunn. If it’s Pena, then it’s Pena. Don’t sell cheap, of course, but we need a youngish guy who can really pitch. Peavy, Harden, Bedard, Meyers, a guy like that. Make it Dunn and a prospect if we need to. This team will not win if we can’t get better pitching and we have such a glut of offense, something has to give.