7/19/06: The greatest Red Sox lineup evah

[Fishercat]

Nicky J walks and the winning run, super clutch Jeter, is coming up.

Mueller made a pick that looked like it hurt, and inexplicably threw to first to barely get Jeter out instead of just tagging third.

But yeah, as I bet Providence expected, the Sox won if they let the pen pitch. It seems that was the most likely result. I want to hear how often they think the Yankees would win if they went to the pen, or tie, etc.

[Fishercat]

Some stats that came out of the 100 sims (I missed some of them)

82% of the time, the Red Sox win when Pedro is taken out at that point in the game.

The most common outcome is a 5-3 score (which they showed on TV) with 41% of the outcomes. The second most common was a 5-4 Boston victory, at 14%.

15% of the time, the game would go into extra innings with the Yankees taking 2/3 of those games.

18% of the time (obviously) the Yankees won.

[Providence A's]

I still want them to sim what actually happened 100 times (leaving Pedro in like Grady did). I doubt the real life outcome happens as much as the Sox still winning that game. And I bet the fans still cred and booed when the Sox lost that 18% of time saying Grady should have left Pedro in.