2006 Cincinnati Reds predictions

[redsfan28]

Predict the number of wins the Reds will have. Also, predict some player stats if you want.

My prediction: Wins: 80 to 82, good for 4th place in the NL Central behind Houston, St. Louis, and Milwaukee.

Player stats:

Griffey - .296 with 38 HR's and 110 RBI's
Dunn - .256 with 41 HR's and 112 RBI's
EdE - .266 with 20 HR's and 75 RBI's
Kearns - .255 with 22 HR's and 60 RBI's
FeLo - .286 with 15 HR's and 55 RBI's

Harang - 14-10 with a 4.25 ERA
Arroyo - 12-15 with a 4.50 ERA
Milton - 10-17 with a 5.10 ERA
Williams - 10-15 with a 4.96 ERA
Claussen - 12-12 with a 4.35 ERA

[love_that_reefer]

Reds will finish in last place. Nl Central will go like this:
Cards
Stros (only if Bags is out and Clemens is in)
Brewers
Cubs
Pirates
Reds

Now if Bags stays and Clemens is gone
Cards
Brewers
Stros
Cubs
Pirates
Reds

[Dunn#44]

I agree with you reefer, the Reds will finish in the basement. They will end wih about 70 wins.
Cards
Brewers
Cubs
Astros
Pirates
Reds

[homerun21]

Reds go 78-84.....4th in NL Central

Stay close until the middle of June..

[Wally Mo Pena]

i'm frankly shocked. i don't think there's a chance in hell that the cardinals or the astros get the pitching they did last year, and i think the NL central is going to be up in the air until the very end. i think the reds will end up with 88 wins or so.

cards
reds
brewers
astros
cubs
pirates

[Geki Ace]

88 wins?

Sir, you have roffled my waffle. I'll be pleasantly surprised if they beat last year, but 88 is downright ridiculous.

[CincyRedsFan30]

I'm going with 81 wins (.500).

I'll do ERA projections for the starters:

Harang: 3.95
Claussen: 4.11
Arroyo: 4.37
Milton: 4.84
Williams: 4.50

[Wally Mo Pena]

as noted in BP today (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/ar...rticleid=4901), more than 1 in 20 teams improves by more than 20 wins from one year to the next, and more than 1 in 5 teams improves by more than 10. So it's really not that absurd to think the reds could be one of those teams, considering what an abberant year last year was for pitching.

and what fun would it be to go into the season thinking that your team was going to win 70 games anyway? enjoy your misery.

[Geki Ace]

76-86, two games behind the Brewers and Astros for 5th in the NL Central. Narron replaced midway through the season with someone actually competent.

Dunn: .271/.404/.598, 50 HR
Griffey: .286/.358/.547, 32 HR, 131 Games
Felipe: .301/.362/.481, 26 HR, 21 SB
Edwin: .278/.353/.463, 21 HR, 9 SB
Kearns: .274/.371/.511, 30 HR
Freel: .281/.368/.381, 42 SB/9 CS, 122 Games
Aurilia: .255/.305/.412, 119 Games
Womack: .242/.275/.278, 17 SB, 91 Games
Hatteberg: .262/.346/.373, 8 HR, 104 Games
LaRue: .267/.353/.444, 16 HR
Valentin: .281/.359/.451, 11 HR
Deno: .281/.361/.424, 69 Games

Harang: 3.52/1.19/7.1, 224 IP
Claussen: 4.14/1.35/5.8
Arroyo: 4.56/1.32/5.6
Milton: 4.94/1.41/6.1, 37 HR Allowed
Williams: 5.21/1.47/5.5
Wilson, 4.87/1.35/5.8, 13 GS, 34 Total Appearances

Weathers: 4.27/1.31/6.5, 19 Saves/7 Blown Saves
Belisle: 3.93/1.36/7.2, Team lead in Appearances
Mercker: 3.66/1.37/6.1, Traded at the Deadline
Hammond: 4.58/1.26/4.8
White: 5.15/1.58/4.4
Wags: 3.14/1.25/9.1, 23 Saves/3 Blown Saves
Coffey: 4.09/1.45/5.5, 18 Holds
Love Shack: 3.12/1.24/6.3, 36 Appearances

That's me being incredibly optimistic.

[redsfan28]

You can't fire "Baseball Guy" (for those who don't remember, in Narron's introductory press conference, he referred to himself as a "Baseball Guy"). At least, not until after the season where you can have a go at either Joe Torre or Lou Piniella.

[Geki Ace]

We've got Bucky bleeping Dent to take over in the interim.

[love_that_reefer]

88 wins? What the hell are you smoking because it ain't pot. The Cards won the Central by 11 games without Rolen. Cubs might win 80 games and they are a far better team than the Reds. Reds simply don't have the pitching that the rest of the Central has.

[redsfan28]

Without Prior or Wood, the Cubs won't have 80 wins and the Reds will probably be ahead of them. Wood and Prior are the two biggest question marks in the NL Central.

[griffeyfan3]

Well I'm a little sceptical about predicint this year, because last year i predicted a first place finish in the central for the Reds. But I think it's safe to say a nice 80-82 wins this year and a 2nd place finish is very well within the Reds sites for 2006.

[love_that_reefer]

Without Prior or Wood, the Cubs won't have 80 wins and the Reds will probably be ahead of them. Wood and Prior are the two biggest question marks in the NL Central.

Why would the Reds be ahead of them or even the Pirates for that matter? The Cubs won 79 games last year without Prior and Wood for the most part.