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Re: How Much Will Ludwick Regress?
His spring training has made me a bit leery of him in fantasy leagues, but if he was on my team I really wouldn't take his poor spring as too much of an indicator. I think at worst, it means he might start off slow and have to make some adjustments to find his groove again. His August and September splits were really solid last year. If he started to slow down in those months, this poor spring would be heightened on the importance scale. Of course his late season stats weren't quite as dynamic as his red hot start in the season, but he posted a .994 OPS in July, 1.036 OPS in August, and a .941 OPS in September.
I don't think we'll see 37 homers again this season, but I think he is a solid bet for 30+ still with a good average and a plus OBP. This season though is a make it or break it though for him, if he follows it up with another +.900 OPS season he'll put himself among the elite class of NL outfielders and not just a flash in the pan.
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